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AUD/USD Forex Signal: Forecast After The Strong NFPs Data - 08 January 2024: (AUDUSD) Bearish Momentum With A 1% Fall In The Last 10 Sessions

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January 9, 2024

AUD/USD Forex Signal: Forecast After The Strong NFPs Data - 08 January 2024: (AUDUSD) Bearish Momentum With A 1% Fall In The Last 10 Sessions
(VIANEWS) - The AUD/USD exchange rate crawled back as traders reflected on the strong US jobs report published on Friday. The pair was trading at 0.6715 on Monday, higher than last week's low of 0.6640.US jobs report and Fed cutsThe AUD/USD reacted to the better-than-expected American jobs report on Friday. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the economy added 216k jobs in December, better than the median estimate of 170k.This was the biggest jump in months, a sign that the labor market is strong. Private payroll numbers rose to 164k, also higher than the median estimate of 130k. The unemployment rate remained at 3.7% while wage growth continued rising. Average hourly earnings rose by 4.1% on a MoM basis after rising by 4.0% in the previous month.These numbers, coupled with the ongoing trends on inflation, mean that the Federal Reserve will likely maintain high rates for longer. There are chances that inflation will remain steady in the coming months.The price of crude oil has remained above $77 this month while global shipping rates are on an uptrend. According to Drewry, the World Container Index has surged in the past few days as the crisis in the Middle East has escalated. Therefore, analysts expect the Federal Reserve will start cutting rates in June instead of March as previously thought.Inflation is also a big issue for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Economists believe that Australia's inflation remained at an elevated level in November. The median estimate is that the headline inflation rose by 4.5% in November, higher than the RBA target of 2.0%.A report published last week showed that Australia's wages grew by 4.0% in the year to September, the fastest increase since 2009. Therefore, analysts are not ruling out a rate hike later this year. AUD/USD technical analysisThe AUD/USD exchange rate bounced back after the latest US Non-Farm Payrolls data. On the four-hour chart, this rebound happened after the pair formed a hammer pattern whose lower side was at 0.6640, which was also the 38.2% retracement level.The pair remains below the 25-period and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has bounced back from 30 to over 40. Therefore, the pair will likely remain on edge on Monday and then resume the downward trend to retest the support at 0.6640.Ready to trade our Forex daily analysis and predictions? Check out the best forex trading platform Australia worth using. AUD/USD (AUDUSD) has been up by 1.52% for the last 10 sessions. At 18:06 EST on Monday, 8 January, AUD/USD (AUDUSD) is $0.67.

Aud/usd forex signal: forecast after the strong nfps data - 08 January 2024

The AUD/USD exchange rate crawled back as traders reflected on the strong US jobs report published on Friday. , The AUD/USD exchange rate bounced back after the latest US Non-Farm Payrolls data.

Aud/usd steady amid upbeat sentiment as traders brace for fed’s bostic comments

The AUD/USD turned flat during the mid-North American session on Monday after hitting a daily low of 0.6677, but an improvement in traders' appetite weakened the Greenback (USD). , From a daily chart perspective, the AUD/USD is neutral to upward biased, but buyers need to reclaim the 0.6800 figure so they can threaten to challenge the December 28 high of 0.6871. AUD/USD's yearly highs and lows, it's 7.143% up from its 52-week low and 6.093% down from its 52-week high.

Volatility

AUD/USD's last week, last month's, and last quarter's current intraday variation average was a negative 0.31%, a positive 0.06%, and a positive 0.47%, respectively. AUD/USD's highest amplitude of average volatility was 0.36% (last week), 0.34% (last month), and 0.47% (last quarter), respectively.

Forex Price Classification

According to the stochastic oscillator, a useful indicator of overbought and oversold conditions, AUD/USD's Forex is considered to be overbought (>=80).

Previous days news about AUD/USD (AUDUSD)

  • Aud/usd trades with mild negative bias above 0.6700, eyes on Australian retail sales data. According to FXStreet on Sunday, 7 January, "The AUD/USD pair trades on a softer note above the 0.6700 mark during the early Asian session on Monday. ", "The recovery of the US Dollar (USD) from its late December low drags the AUD/USD lower. "
More news about AUD/USD (AUDUSD).
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