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Hospitality REITs Surge 38% as $1.7 Trillion Private Credit Selloff Splits Real Estate Finance

San Francisco hotel revenue per room jumped 37.9% in Q4 while BlackRock TCP Capital dropped 9% as investors fled private credit exposure. The divergence signals urban hospitality recovery across Western markets while mounting scrutiny of leverage in the $1.7 trillion private credit sector pressures financing vehicles globally.

Hospitality REITs Surge 38% as $1.7 Trillion Private Credit Selloff Splits Real Estate Finance
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Pebblebrook Hotel Trust reported San Francisco revenue per available room surged 37.9% in Q4 as hospitality REITs posted 38% gains, while BlackRock TCP Capital tumbled 9% amid private credit market concerns—a split reflecting urban tourism recovery in major Western cities against growing unease over leverage in the $1.7 trillion private credit sector.

StorageVault Canada moved to lock in financing ahead of rate volatility, launching a $50 million offering of 5.60% senior unsecured hybrid debentures closing November 28, 2025. The defensive positioning mirrors strategies across North American and European property operators securing long-term capital before market conditions deteriorate.

Berkeley Group blamed UK housing market weakness on buyers delaying purchases ahead of potential stamp duty and council tax changes in the November budget. The policy uncertainty adds to pressure on developers across Britain and continental Europe already navigating elevated borrowing costs that have cooled transaction volumes since 2022.

US investor Grant Cardone predicted America will become a "renter nation" as mortgage terms extend to 40-100 years to maintain affordability. "The savior of America will not be lower prices, it will be longer mortgages," he said—a shift that would align US financing with ultra-long mortgage structures already common in Japan and emerging in European markets.

Cardone advised targeting 1970-1980 vintage properties where rents run $200 below market, typically held by long-term owners who avoided raising rents. "You should look for a property where the rents are $1,000 but they should be $1,200," he said.

The sector faces three simultaneous pressures: private credit market repricing affecting business development companies and mortgage REITs across North America and Europe, regulatory uncertainty in markets like the UK dampening transaction volume, and structural affordability challenges pushing financing terms to unprecedented lengths in developed economies.

Tokenization initiatives are emerging as alternative capital formation tools in Asia and the Middle East, though adoption remains limited in Western markets. The shift toward ultra-long mortgages and alternative ownership structures signals traditional 30-year fixed-rate financing may no longer anchor residential real estate in high-cost markets globally.


Sources:
1 Yahoo Finance, "‘America will become a renter nation’: says billionaire Grant Cardone. Making the most of the market" (February 08, 2026)
2 Yahoo Finance, "FTSE 100 LIVE: Stocks mixed as traders await US Federal Reserve interest rate decision" (December 10, 2025)
3 Yahoo Finance, "Grant Cardone: A home is a ‘terrible investment’ since it ‘ain’t your house.’ How to tap real estate" (January 24, 2026)
4 Yahoo Finance, "Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Q4 Earnings Call Highlights" (February 28, 2026)
5 Globe Newswire, "Safe and Green Development Corporation strengthens its soil and material processing capabilities; Mi" (December 09, 2025)