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Source document· December 11, 2025

Fed's rate cut takeaways, Eric Jackson's bull case for Nextdoor

View original at finance.yahoo.com
Fed's rate cut takeaways, Eric Jackson's bull case for Nextdoor Morning Brief host Julie Hyman takes on the day's morning market developments on December 11, 2025…
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  • Silent dissents and voting dissents speak to a higher bar for cuts next year regardless of who next Fed chair is

    80% confidence
  • Under Nirav Tolia, notifications were cut by 80% with no effect on 21 million weekly active users

    80% confidence
  • Webvan, Cosmo, and Pets.com were sound ideas just built at the wrong time, now succeeded by Instacart and Chewy

    80% confidence
  • Too early to say AI is boosting productivity, though surprised to see 2% productivity growth

    80% confidence
  • Fed forecasts one additional interest rate reduction in 2026

    80% confidence
  • Nextdoor is one of the most misunderstood platforms in the market

    80% confidence
  • Inflation is higher on my list of concerns than what the FOMC is signaling

    80% confidence
  • Online prices showing we're still in the midst of increasing prices from goods side going into next year

    80% confidence
  • If productivity doesn't prove as accretive to economy, expected productivity gains won't materialize

    80% confidence
  • Major inflation driver is tariff inflation on goods side, not services side

    80% confidence
  • AI may be impacting job market on the margins but not a major driving factor

    80% confidence
  • Insurance cuts are over and Fed is poised to take a pause in the new year

    80% confidence
  • Tariff inflation could peak in Q1 2026 unless new tariff announcements are made

    80% confidence
  • GDP forecast raised to 2.3% for 2026

    80% confidence
  • Nextdoor has 100 million verified real users with no spam or robots

    80% confidence
  • AI and Agentic AI specifically can now map onto local commerce opportunity in ways previous attempts couldn't

    80% confidence
  • Angie was a $2 billion business from lead generation a couple years ago, representing open ground for Nextdoor

    80% confidence
  • Job growth has been overstated by 60,000 per month, with actual negative job growth of 20,000 per month

    80% confidence

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Frontier AI Slowdown Call Splits Industry, Rattles Capex-Sensitive Markets
Anthropic's Dario Amodei publicly called for a coordinated global slowdown in frontier AI development, a stance Microsoft echoed with a 'humanist' AI code of conduct, but Nvidia and Meta's CEOs rejected any coordinated pause days later, exposing a widening rift between safety-focused and growth-focused AI leaders. The dispute landed amid growing financial scrutiny of AI infrastructure spending — a hyperscaler capex analysis, FTC warnings against antitrust waivers for AI firms, and an 8.6% single-day stock drop in GE Vernova tied directly to the slowdown remarks — signaling investors are newly nervous about whether the AI capex boom (including Alphabet's projected $701B revenue narrative) can be justified if the pace of development itself becomes contested.
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EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade
High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.
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Berkshire Hathaway
Both facts report Berkshire Hathaway's cash position on 2026-01-01 with identical observation timestamps, but claim vastly different values: 380 billion USD vs 400 USD. These cannot both be true for the same entity at the same point in time. The magnitude of the discrepancy (a factor of ~10^9) rules out rounding, unit conversion, or methodological differences.
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