Stock market today: Dow drops 800 points as S&P 500, Nasdaq slide on Trump tariff fears, AI 'scare trade'
View original at finance.yahoo.comStock market today: Dow drops 800 points as S&P 500, Nasdaq slide on Trump tariff fears, AI 'scare trade' US stocks retreated on Monday as investors grappled with the fallout from the Supreme Court's rebuff of President Trump's most sweeping tariffs, while AI disruption fears gripped markets once again…
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A deal is a deal
80% confidenceMORE strategy delivered higher sales and profits, with strong results flowing through to increased franchisee profits
80% confidenceCurrent conditions remind them of similar sell-offs that led to 80%-190% total returns within 12 months
80% confidenceWTI crude expected to fall to $56 in Q4, up from previous call of $48
80% confidenceAll major regions were net sold, led by North America and Europe, with 58% single stocks and 42% macro products
80% confidenceRates two possible outcomes as close to a coin flip
80% confidenceBrent rallied $11 YTD to $71 as Iran-related supply concerns drove positioning recovery while OECD inventories haven't built as expected
80% confidenceThere is significant misinformation weighing on Blue Owl and private credit industry, creating attractive buying opportunity
80% confidenceIf strong January jobs reading is revised lower, would reinforce January rate cut and signal need for another cut in March
80% confidenceUS will lift baseline tariff rate on imports to 15%, effective immediately
80% confidenceIf February labor data consistent with stronger job creation and low unemployment, may be appropriate to hold policy rate at current levels
80% confidenceBlue Owl's investment history is solid to strong across all strategies and credit quality remains above average
80% confidenceAssuming underlying inflation continues to signal we are close to 2% goal, key to setting policy will be view of labor market
80% confidencePotential 1M barrel/day Iran supply disruption for 12 months would boost fair value of oil by $8
80% confidenceGatekeepers and majority of financial advisors are sticking to facts including +12% 3Y annualized returns
80% confidenceBrent crude expected to decline to $60/barrel in Q4, up from previous estimate of $54
80% confidenceHedge funds sold global stocks in week ended Feb. 19 at fastest pace since April 2025
80% confidencePrivate credit is attractive contributor to US retirees' portfolio given high returns, downside protection and monthly dividends
80% confidence
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