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Source document· January 20, 2026

Which Pharma Stock Stands Taller Right Now: LLY or PFE?

View original at finance.yahoo.com
Which Pharma Stock Stands Taller Right Now: LLY or PFE? Eli Lilly & Company LLY and Pfizer PFE are large-cap U.S. pharmaceutical leaders, each backed by diversified product portfolios and robust R&D engines…
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  • Pfizer's 2026 sales expected to decline 2.1% year-over-year

    80% confidence

  • Lilly is a clear winner over Pfizer due to exceptional growth from Mounjaro and Zepbound, product and pipeline portfolio in high-growth therapeutic areas like obesity, robust growth prospects and bullish analyst sentiment

    80% confidence

  • New and acquired products expected to deliver double-digit growth in 2026

    80% confidence

  • Cost cuts and internal restructuring to deliver savings of $7.7 billion by the end of 2027

    80% confidence

  • Data readouts from three phase III studies on retatrutide for treating obesity expected in the second half of 2026

    80% confidence

  • Mounjaro and Zepbound are expected to continue to see strong demand in 2026

    80% confidence

  • Lilly's 2026 EPS expected to increase 39.5% year-over-year

    80% confidence

  • Orforglipron has potential to be approved and launched in 2026

    80% confidence

  • Metsera candidates expected to generate billions of dollars in peak sales

    80% confidence

  • COVID revenues expected to be around $5 billion in 2026, $1.5 billion less than expected sales of about $6.5 billion in 2025

    80% confidence

  • Pfizer's 2026 EPS expected to decline 4.2% year-over-year

    80% confidence

  • Lilly's 2026 sales expected to increase 22.6% year-over-year

    80% confidence

  • Loss of exclusivity cliff expected to hurt sales by approximately $1.5 billion in 2026

    80% confidence
What we know · the intelligence behind this page
Live from the substrate
What we're seeing
Q4 2026 Biopharma Catalyst Cluster: Late-Stage Readouts and Regulatory Milestones
October 2026 brings a dense run of Phase 3 wins (ALOFT-IPF, RESTORE-3), new data presentations (Roche, Bayer, Lilly, Vertex, Galderma) and regulatory steps (FDA acceptance of Roche's vamikibart BLA, Scholar Rock's EMA resubmission). The next big catalyst is the ivonescimab FDA PDUFA date on 2026-11-14. Obesity combination studies (REDEFINE 4, TOGETHER-PsO) and the 2027 Maritime-1 completion point to more catalysts ahead. QAIAx's speculative AI-linked trial claims (the QIII pilot, targeted for 2027) are an unrelated micro-cap sideshow with weak evidence, and have little in common with the large-cap pipeline news.
Our read on the data ›
Signals we're tracking
EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade
High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.
Patterns we're watching ›
Where sources disagree
ING Group
Both facts record the same metric (shares_outstanding) for ING Group at the identical observation date (2025-12-31). FACT A states 2,902,437,688 shares; FACT B states 2,902 million shares (2,902,000,000). The difference is 437,688 shares (~0.015%). This is a genuine value conflict, though the discrepancy appears to result from FACT B rounding to the nearest million while FACT A provides the precise count.
We flag conflicts openly ›
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