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Source document· December 16, 2025

XRP Lost Over 45% Since July Peak: Can $1B ETF Momentum Reverse the Slide?

View original at finance.yahoo.com
XRP Lost Over 45% Since July Peak: Can $1B ETF Momentum Reverse the Slide? Tamisclao / Shutterstock.com Quick Read XRP dropped from $3.66 in July 2025 to around $2.00 by December 2025, losing over 45% as 37% of holders sit on unrealized losses U.S…
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  • Technical forecasts suggest a break under $2.00 may target $1.90-1.95 initially, with deeper slides to $1.50 possible if the downtrend intensifies

    80% confidence

  • The SEC's approval regime and court rulings characterizing XRP as a commodity made it a compliance-friendly token for advisors

    80% confidence

  • XRP could approach its old $3.66 high by late 2026, driven by shrinking exchange float and steady institutional accumulation

    80% confidence

  • Analysts argue these institutional XRP ETF inflows create a structural bid under XRP

    80% confidence

  • This supply squeeze mirrors what happened to Bitcoin after ETF approval—shrinking float, then rallies

    80% confidence

  • Approximately 37% of XRP's circulating supply sits in unrealized loss

    80% confidence

  • If XRP ETF inflows continue at current trends, the float may shrink by another 2-3% by Q1 2026

    80% confidence

  • Since mid-November, U.S. XRP ETF inflows amassed over $1 billion and absorbed nearly 1% of XRP's circulating supply

    80% confidence

Data points we hold from this source

XRP · unrealized loss percentage37 percent
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What we're seeing
Frontier AI Slowdown Call Splits Industry, Rattles Capex-Sensitive Markets
Anthropic's Dario Amodei publicly called for a coordinated global slowdown in frontier AI development, a stance Microsoft echoed with a 'humanist' AI code of conduct, but Nvidia and Meta's CEOs rejected any coordinated pause days later, exposing a widening rift between safety-focused and growth-focused AI leaders. The dispute landed amid growing financial scrutiny of AI infrastructure spending — a hyperscaler capex analysis, FTC warnings against antitrust waivers for AI firms, and an 8.6% single-day stock drop in GE Vernova tied directly to the slowdown remarks — signaling investors are newly nervous about whether the AI capex boom (including Alphabet's projected $701B revenue narrative) can be justified if the pace of development itself becomes contested.
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Satellite-Terrestrial Network Integration Acceleration
Increased investment and launches in hybrid satellite-cellular networks across telecom industry; competitive responses from other carriers; regulatory activity around satellite spectrum; expansion of emergency/rural connectivity use cases
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Where sources disagree
ING Group
Both facts record the same metric (shares_outstanding) for ING Group at the identical observation date (2025-12-31). FACT A states 2,902,437,688 shares; FACT B states 2,902 million shares (2,902,000,000). The difference is 437,688 shares (~0.015%). This is a genuine value conflict, though the discrepancy appears to result from FACT B rounding to the nearest million while FACT A provides the precise count.
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