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Source document· March 28, 2026

Have Salesforce shares hit bottom? BNP Paribas eyes catalysts to turn stock around

View original at seekingalpha.com
Have Salesforce shares hit bottom?…
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  • At 4Q results, Salesforce announced a $50bn repurchase authorization, with the first $20bn completed by 3/15, the next $5bn completed by the end of FY27e, and the final $25bn yet to be scheduled

    60% confidence

  • Buybacks are clearly not enough to trigger new investor interest or confidence, but next week's event highlighting Slackbot may serve as a near-term catalyst as it is likely to be another step in demonstrating real-world customer adoption of Salesforce's AI products

    60% confidence

  • Salesforce stock might have finally reached its low point, and multiple near-term catalysts could help

    60% confidence

  • Total FY27 buyback estimate increases to ~$25bn from ~$16bn previously, driving an 8% reduction in diluted share count for FY27 versus prior estimate

    60% confidence

Data points we hold from this source

Salesforce · share buyback completed20 USD
What we know · the intelligence behind this page
Live from the substrate
What we're seeing
Frontier AI Slowdown Call Splits Industry, Rattles Capex-Sensitive Markets
Anthropic's Dario Amodei publicly called for a coordinated global slowdown in frontier AI development, a stance Microsoft echoed with a 'humanist' AI code of conduct, but Nvidia and Meta's CEOs rejected any coordinated pause days later, exposing a widening rift between safety-focused and growth-focused AI leaders. The dispute landed amid growing financial scrutiny of AI infrastructure spending — a hyperscaler capex analysis, FTC warnings against antitrust waivers for AI firms, and an 8.6% single-day stock drop in GE Vernova tied directly to the slowdown remarks — signaling investors are newly nervous about whether the AI capex boom (including Alphabet's projected $701B revenue narrative) can be justified if the pace of development itself becomes contested.
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EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade
High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.
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Where sources disagree
Berkshire Hathaway
Both facts report Berkshire Hathaway's cash position on 2026-01-01 with identical observation timestamps, but claim vastly different values: 380 billion USD vs 400 USD. These cannot both be true for the same entity at the same point in time. The magnitude of the discrepancy (a factor of ~10^9) rules out rounding, unit conversion, or methodological differences.
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