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Source document· December 11, 2025

Adobe targets over 10% ARR growth in fiscal 2026 amid accelerating AI adoption and Semrush acquisition

View original at seekingalpha.com
Adobe targets over 10% ARR growth in fiscal 2026 amid accelerating AI adoption and Semrush acquisition Earnings Call Insights: Adobe Inc…
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  • Adobe achieved record revenue of $23.77 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $20.94 in fiscal 2025

    80% confidence
  • Digital Experience achieved revenue of $1.52 billion for Q4 and record $5.86 billion in revenue in FY '25

    80% confidence
  • LLMs like ChatGPT are a great top of funnel and enable conversion into full paid plans

    80% confidence
  • Adobe achieved significant AI-influenced and AI-first ending ARR, which accelerated through the year

    80% confidence
  • Adobe repurchased nearly $12 billion in shares and reduced shares outstanding by over 6% during the year

    80% confidence
  • Adobe delivered record revenue of $23.77 billion, growing 11% year-over-year in FY '25

    80% confidence
  • Acrobat AI Assistant and PDF Spaces drove over 4x year-over-year feature usage growth

    80% confidence
  • Adobe projects total revenue of $25.9 to $26.1 billion for fiscal 2026 with ARR growth of 10.2% year-over-year

    80% confidence
  • Credit consumption in Firefly increased 3x quarter-over-quarter

    80% confidence
  • Adobe projects total revenue of $25.9 to $26.1 billion for FY26 with total ARR growth of 10.2% year-over-year

    80% confidence
  • Adobe delivered record revenue of $23.77 billion in FY 2025, growing 11% year-over-year as reported and in constant currency

    80% confidence
  • Adobe projects total revenue of $25.9 to $26.1 billion for FY '26

    80% confidence
  • Digital Media achieved revenue of $4.62 billion in Q4 and full year revenue of $17.65 billion, both growing 11% year-over-year

    80% confidence
  • Credit consumption in generative AI experienced 3x quarter-over-quarter growth in generation

    80% confidence
  • Digital Experience achieved revenue of $1.52 billion in Q4 and record $5.86 billion in FY 2025

    80% confidence
  • FY '26 guidance targets do not include contributions from the pending Semrush acquisition

    80% confidence
  • Digital Experience achieved revenue of $1.52 billion for Q4 and a record $5.86 billion in revenue in FY '25

    80% confidence
  • Adobe achieved record revenue of $23.77 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $20.94

    80% confidence
  • Adobe is seeing strong seat growth and significant value in pricing opportunity with creative professionals

    80% confidence
  • Subscription revenue for AEP and native apps grew over 40% year-over-year

    80% confidence
  • Total Adobe ending ARR book of business growth will be 10.2% year-over-year in FY '26

    80% confidence
  • Credit consumption increased 3x quarter-over-quarter

    80% confidence
  • Adobe can close the loop from creation of a campaign, execution, and impact on commerce

    80% confidence
  • Total new AI-influenced ARR now exceeds 1/3 of Adobe's overall book of business

    80% confidence
  • For Q1 FY '26, Adobe expects total revenue of $6.25 billion to $6.3 billion with non-GAAP EPS of $5.85 to $5.90

    80% confidence
  • Q1 FY '26 total Adobe revenue projected at $6.25 billion to $6.3 billion with non-GAAP EPS of $5.85 to $5.90

    80% confidence
  • Adobe can close the loop from campaign creation to execution and commerce measurement

    80% confidence
  • Acrobat AI Assistant and PDF Spaces are driving over 4x year-over-year feature usage

    80% confidence
  • Combining Adobe and Semrush will deliver a comprehensive solution for marketers to improve brand visibility across owned and new channels

    80% confidence
  • Q4 was an inflection point in early indicators for ARR growth

    80% confidence
What we know · the intelligence behind this page
Live from the substrate
What we're seeing
Enterprise AI Agents Go Mainstream, But Trustworthy Data Access Lags Adoption
A wave of enterprise AI agent activity — fresh funding (Latitude's $35M Series A), a run of CB Insights CEO interviews spotlighting fintech- and healthcare-focused agent startups (Covecta, Penguin AI, Maisa AI), and major platform partnerships (Microsoft-Mistral, Manulife-Microsoft AI governance, Siemens-NVIDIA agentic EDA, Box's agent security controls) — signals agentic AI moving from pilot to production across financial and enterprise workflows. Yet Google Cloud's own research shows adoption is outrunning data readiness (companies average AI access to only 45% of their data, with 'data laggards' capped near 30%), while insider selling at incumbent C3.ai hints at mixed investor conviction even as the broader ecosystem accelerates.
Our read on the data ›
Signals we're tracking
Satellite-Terrestrial Network Integration Acceleration
Increased investment and launches in hybrid satellite-cellular networks across telecom industry; competitive responses from other carriers; regulatory activity around satellite spectrum; expansion of emergency/rural connectivity use cases
Patterns we're watching ›
Where sources disagree
ING Group
Both facts record the same metric (shares_outstanding) for ING Group at the identical observation date (2025-12-31). FACT A states 2,902,437,688 shares; FACT B states 2,902 million shares (2,902,000,000). The difference is 437,688 shares (~0.015%). This is a genuine value conflict, though the discrepancy appears to result from FACT B rounding to the nearest million while FACT A provides the precise count.
We flag conflicts openly ›
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