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Source document· December 11, 2025

Adobe targets over 10% ARR growth in fiscal 2026 amid accelerating AI adoption and Semrush acquisition

View original at seekingalpha.com
Adobe targets over 10% ARR growth in fiscal 2026 amid accelerating AI adoption and Semrush acquisition Earnings Call Insights: Adobe Inc…
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  • Business Professionals and Consumers Subscription revenue will be $7.35 billion to $7.4 billion in FY '26

    80% confidence
  • Adobe achieved record bookings of deals greater than $1 million and over 25% year-over-year growth in customers with $10 million-plus in ARR

    80% confidence
  • For Q1 FY 2026, Adobe projects total revenue of $6.25 billion to $6.3 billion

    80% confidence
  • For Q1 FY 2026, Adobe projects GAAP EPS of $4.55 to $4.60 and non-GAAP EPS of $5.85 to $5.90

    80% confidence
  • Adobe is seeing strong seat growth and significant pricing opportunity with creative professionals

    80% confidence
  • Q1 FY '26 total Adobe revenue will be $6.25 billion to $6.3 billion

    80% confidence
  • Adobe projects total revenue of $25.9 to $26.1 billion for fiscal 2026

    80% confidence
  • Adobe projects Total Adobe ending ARR book of business growth of 10.2% year-over-year for fiscal 2026

    80% confidence
  • Adobe can close the loop from campaign creation to execution to commerce impact measurement

    80% confidence
  • Adobe is helping enterprises reduce content production creation and production cost

    80% confidence
  • GAAP EPS for the year was $16.70 and non-GAAP EPS was $20.94, growing 35% and 14% year-over-year respectively

    80% confidence
  • Q4 was an inflection point in early indicators for ARR growth

    80% confidence
  • Digital Media achieved revenue of $4.62 billion in Q4 and full year revenue of $17.65 billion, both growing 11% year-over-year

    80% confidence
  • Adobe generated over $10 billion in operating cash flows in FY '25

    80% confidence
  • LLMs like ChatGPT are a great top of funnel and enable conversion into full paid plans

    80% confidence
  • Adobe achieved significant AI-influenced and AI-first ending ARR, which accelerated through the year

    80% confidence
  • Digital Media achieved revenue of $4.62 billion in Q4, and full year revenue of $17.65 billion, both growing 11% year-over-year

    80% confidence
  • Adobe is helping enterprises reduce content production creation and production costs

    80% confidence
  • Adobe guides Q1 FY26 revenue to $6.25 to $6.3 billion with non-GAAP EPS of $5.85 to $5.90

    80% confidence
  • Adobe achieved record bookings of deals greater than $1 million and over 25% year-over-year growth in customers with $10 million-plus in ARR

    80% confidence
  • Foundry takes customization to a different level in terms of Adobe's ability to serve enterprises

    80% confidence
  • Acrobat AI Assistant and PDF Spaces are driving over 4x year-over-year feature usage

    80% confidence
  • Adobe projects total revenue of $25.9 to $26.1 billion for FY26 with total ARR growth of 10.2% year-over-year

    80% confidence
  • Total Adobe revenue projected at $25.9 to $26.1 billion for FY '26

    80% confidence
  • Adobe is helping enterprises reduce content production creation and production costs

    80% confidence
  • Digital Media achieved revenue of $4.62 billion in Q4, and full year revenue of $17.65 billion, both growing 11% year-over-year

    80% confidence
  • Adobe delivered record revenue of $23.77 billion in FY '25, growing 11% year-over-year, with GAAP EPS of $16.70 and non-GAAP EPS of $20.94

    80% confidence
  • Enterprises are seeing increased efficiency and revenue opportunities from Firefly Foundry as a managed service

    80% confidence
  • Adobe is confident in delivering industry-leading innovation, double-digit ARR growth and world class profitability

    80% confidence
  • Enterprises are already seeing increased efficiency and revenue opportunities from Firefly Foundry as a managed service

    80% confidence
What we know · the intelligence behind this page
Live from the substrate
What we're seeing
Q4 2026 Clinical Catalyst Season: Big-Pharma Data Flow, Regulatory Milestones, and a Thin AI-Drug Fringe
October 2026 conferences (EASD, IGCS, NACFC, HFSA) are producing a dense run of late-stage readouts from Novo Nordisk, Lilly, Roche, Bayer, Vertex and Galderma. Regulatory milestones are scheduled behind them: the ivonescimab BLA PDUFA date on 2026-11-14, FDA acceptance of Roche's vamikibart BLA, and Scholar Rock's EMA resubmission. The AI-and-finance angle is peripheral. It consists of the AI-designed drug Rentosertib and QAIAx, a speculative microcap whose trial claims (the QIII pilot, anticipated 2027-01-01, and a patent update) are forecasts and filings rather than data, so they warrant skepticism.
Our read on the data ›
Signals we're tracking
EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade
High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.
Patterns we're watching ›
Where sources disagree
ING Group
Both facts record the same metric (shares_outstanding) for ING Group at the identical observation date (2025-12-31). FACT A states 2,902,437,688 shares; FACT B states 2,902 million shares (2,902,000,000). The difference is 437,688 shares (~0.015%). This is a genuine value conflict, though the discrepancy appears to result from FACT B rounding to the nearest million while FACT A provides the precise count.
We flag conflicts openly ›
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