Fed has no 'tools' to solve affordability crisis: Torsten Sløk
View original at finance.yahoo.comFed has no 'tools' to solve affordability crisis: Torsten Sløk The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, while Fed officials signaled that there will only be one rate cut in 2026…
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If the Fed lowers interest rates, it could increase home prices even more
80% confidenceThere is a risk of a second inflation mountain in 2026 due to AI productivity gains and fiscal stimulus
80% confidenceWe are entering uncharted territory with potential for significant disagreement within the Federal Reserve
80% confidenceJobless claims have been very low
80% confidenceThis is the first Fed meeting where the Fed Chair is worried about the impact of AI on the labor market
80% confidenceThe median age of first-time home buyers is about 40 years old
80% confidenceFiscal policy and Congress have the tools to address affordability, not the Fed
80% confidenceThere is a risk the new Fed chair could lower interest rates purely for political reasons
80% confidenceAffordability is almost a state of mind as much as anything else
80% confidenceDespite short rates going down since September 2024, long-term interest rates have not declined
80% confidenceWe don't yet know how AI is going to impact the economy from a macro perspective
80% confidenceThe Federal Reserve has no tools to solve the affordability crisis
80% confidenceThe One Big Beautiful Bill with immediate expensing provisions will boost capital expenditures
80% confidenceWe are entering a period where the economy will accelerate in the second half of 2026, with tailwinds to growth and corporate earnings
80% confidenceThe price of education, health care, and housing has increased in the last decade, making up a bigger share of consumer spending
80% confidence
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