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News articleSeeking Alpha· October 6, 2026

RPM projects fiscal 2027 mid-single-digit sales and adjusted EBITDA growth as Q2 raw material inflation rises to 9%–11%

View original at seekingalpha.com

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  • European sales growth is primarily driven by acquisition activity.

    60% confidence
  • The full-year guide carries significant uncertainty.

    60% confidence
  • RPM will probably do slightly better than dollar-for-dollar price/cost in Q2.

    60% confidence
  • Emerging markets growth is sustainable; they rose from slightly less than 5% of consolidated sales to 8%, and more acquisitions are expected.

    60% confidence
  • The warranty issue relates to a specific CPG business unit in Europe with a likely closure; no further warranty issues are anticipated.

    60% confidence
  • Q2 consolidated sales and EBITDA are expected to increase in the low to mid-single-digit range.

    60% confidence
  • Polyurethane feedstock shortages were more pronounced than expected and hurt sales; FIFO will impact the P&L.

    60% confidence
  • RPM will recover lost margin and probably more, and is highly confident it will meet or beat its 42% goal.

    60% confidence
  • RPM delivered record first quarter sales, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS despite sluggish end markets and temporary operating headwinds; PCG and Consumer growth offset temporary CPG softness.

    60% confidence
  • Price is up about 2% across RPM, Q2 price is expected at 2.5% to 3.5%, and buybacks will continue.

    60% confidence
  • RPM aims to keep an investment-grade rating and has ample dry powder to repurchase shares; deal multiples are down 2 to 3 points.

    60% confidence
  • SG&A optimization actions offset gross margin pressure; gross margins fell 100 bps as raw material inflation outpaced pricing and MAP benefits.

    60% confidence
  • Emerging markets generated more than 20% revenue growth, and South American businesses were added to the Platform Group.

    60% confidence
  • The reduced full-year guide is a bet on when Construction Products Group and Tremco Roofing recover.

    60% confidence
  • FY2027 sales growth narrowed to mid-single-digit from 3%-7%, and adjusted EBITDA growth to mid-single-digit from 5%-10%.

    60% confidence
  • RPM expects no good news on Middle East conflict and has been selective in price increases.

    60% confidence
  • Consumer takeaway and foot traffic remain sluggish; results were driven by market share gains, new placements and improving results in The Pink Stuff.

    60% confidence
  • RPM returned $90.5 million to shareholders and total debt declined $263 million.

    60% confidence
  • Nothing has changed in September trends.

    60% confidence
  • Adjusted diluted EPS rose 5.3% to a first quarter record $1.98, driven by higher sales and MAP benefits, offset by raw material inflation, warranty expenses and bad debt expense.

    60% confidence
  • Q2 inflation is now expected at 9% to 11%, up from 6% to 8%, and additional pricing increases were implemented across all segments.

    60% confidence
  • Long term, rates and oil do not materially alter demand; RPM sees good work in tech, onshoring, manufacturing and data center build-out.

    60% confidence
  • CPG organic sales declined on a slowdown in education and health care markets and finished product shortages from supplier polyurethane constraints; several headwinds were temporary.

    60% confidence
  • Management now forecasts gross margin pressure for the year, versus moderating inflation in the second half expected on the Q4 call.

    60% confidence
  • The shortage issue is behind RPM in production, with inventory catch-up in Q2.

    60% confidence
  • UBS questioned whether RPM is having trouble getting pricing in CPG.

    60% confidence
  • Operating cash flow should grow on working capital improvement, and health care costs are flattening.

    60% confidence
  • CPG education and healthcare results and activity should improve in the second half; receivables from bankruptcies were written off but a significant amount may be recovered.

    60% confidence
  • PCG growth dynamics continue in Q2 and margin should improve through the year; PCG is driven by industrial capital spending and the platform approach.

    60% confidence
  • Freight costs are up meaningfully, leading to freight surcharges across a number of businesses.

    60% confidence

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