Stock market today: Dow falls 800 points, S&P 500, Nasdaq slide as Trump's latest tariff salvo reverberates through markets
View original at finance.yahoo.comStock market today: Dow falls 800 points, S&P 500, Nasdaq slide as Trump's latest tariff salvo reverberates through markets US stocks retreated on Monday as investors grappled with the fallout from the Supreme Court's rebuff of President Trump's most sweeping tariffs, which has thrown major trade deals into doubt…
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If labor market data for February are consistent with stronger job creation and low unemployment, it may be appropriate to hold policy rate at current levels
80% confidenceDespite misinformation, gatekeepers and majority of financial advisors are sticking to the facts which includes +12% 3Y annualized returns
80% confidenceThere is a significant level of misinformation weighing on Blue Owl and the private credit industry, creating a particularly attractive buying opportunity
80% confidenceBlue Owl price target of $24 implies return of more than 100%
80% confidenceA deal is a deal - EU rejects any hike in tariffs and calls on Washington to clarify steps
80% confidencePrivate credit is an attractive contributor to US retirees' portfolio given high returns, downside protection and monthly dividends, and has outperformed most equity strategies over last three years
80% confidenceBlue Owl's investment history is solid to strong across all strategies and credit quality remains above average
80% confidenceRate these two possible outcomes as close to a coin flip
80% confidenceCurrent conditions remind of similar sell-offs in Blackstone, Apollo, and Ares that led to 80%-190% total returns within 12 months from the lows
80% confidenceStability in OECD stocks reflects supply disruptions in January, especially in Kazakhstan, and global surplus materializing as rising inventories of sanctioned crude stuck at sea
80% confidenceA potential 1 million barrel per day supply disruption in Iran for 12 months would boost fair value of oil by $8
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80% confidenceIf strong January job reading is revised lower, it would reinforce January's rate cut and signal need for another cut in March
80% confidenceBrent has rallied $11 YTD to $71 as Iran-related supply concerns have driven recovery in positioning and risk premium
80% confidenceAll major regions were net sold, led by North America and Europe. Single stocks and macro products were both net sold
80% confidenceOil prices likely to decline by less than previously expected, with Brent at $60 and WTI at $56 in Q4, up from previous estimates of $54 and $48
80% confidenceAssuming underlying inflation continues to signal we are close to our 2% goal, the key to setting appropriate policy will be my view of the labor market
80% confidence