Friday, September 4, 2026
Via News Knowledge File

Federal Reserve

government agency80% conf.·synced Sep 3, 2026

U.S. central bank that may implement rate cuts as potential demand stimulus

59
sourced metrics
1516
relationships
20
stated objectives
8
Via News reports

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Key metrics · each point sourced

Unemployment Rate Forecast
4.4percent
Dec 31, 2026⚠ sources conflictsource
Core Pce Inflation Forecast
2.5percent
Dec 31, 2026⚠ sources conflictsource
Rate Hike Probability July
33percent
Jul 29, 2026source
Rate Hike Probability
31percent
Jul 8, 2026source
Rate Hike Probability Next Meeting
36percent
Jun 18, 2026source
Parameter Count
2percent
Jun 3, 2026source
Inflation Forecast
3.6percent
Jun 1, 2026source
Implied Rate Cut Probability Next Meeting
0percent
May 28, 2026source
Cash
6.7trillion_USD
May 24, 2026source
Debt
40trillion_USD_national_debt
May 19, 2026source
Gdp
3.75percent_upper_bound
May 17, 2026source
Employee Count
17chairs_historically
May 16, 2026source
Fomc Rate Cut Probability Next Meeting
3percent
Apr 30, 2026source
Fed Funds Rate
4percent
Apr 18, 2026source
Rate Cut Forecast
1cuts
Apr 17, 2026source
Inflation Target
2percent
Apr 17, 2026source
Expected Rate End 2026
3.50percent
Apr 17, 2026source
Balance Sheet
6.7trillion_USD
Apr 15, 2026source

Stated objectives

Rate cuts in 2026

source
target: 1 by 2026-01-01 00:00:00stated

Normalization of target rate

source
target: 3.5% or 3.0% stated

Inflation rate target

source
target: 2.5% by 2026-01-01 00:00:00stated

Reduce federal funds rate by 250 basis points by end of 2026

source
target: 250 basis points decline by 2026-12-31 00:00:00stated

Purchase up to $40B per month in Treasury bills plus approximately $15B from MBS paydowns through reserve management program

source
target: 40B USD per month in bills stated

Cut interest rates two more times in 2025

source
target: 2 cuts by 2025-01-01 00:00:00stated

Bring interest rate range to 4%-4.25%

source
target: 4-4.25 percent by 2025-09-17 00:00:00stated

Reduce inflation to 2% target

source
target: 2 percent stated

Reduce Fed funds rate to 3.5-3.75% range by December 2025 meeting

source
target: 3.5-3.75% by 2025-12-31 00:00:00stated

Cut interest rates in December 2026

source
target: 25 basis points by 2026-12-01 00:00:00stated

Relationship graph · 1516 connections

regulates
561
Employs
368
subsidiary of
193
governs
63
Covered by
57
board member of
34
regulated by
23
located in
20

Via News coverage

This Knowledge File is assembled from Via News's source-traceable knowledge graph. Metrics, objectives and relationships are extracted from primary and credible secondary documents and refreshed on a schedule. Read our methodology →
What we know · the intelligence behind this page
Live from the substrate
What we're seeing
AI Funding Surge: Capital Floods Fintech, Foundation Models, and Autonomous Systems
A concentrated burst of AI-linked funding on 2026-08-28 pushed well over $1.5B into companies spanning fraud/identity fintech (Socure, which also acquired Fravity), foundation models (Stability AI), AI agents and enterprise tooling (Instinct, Generalist AI, Emerald AI, Owner), and AI-adjacent autonomous/aerospace ventures (Gatik, Regent Craft). The breadth and simultaneity of these rounds signal that investor appetite for AI is not concentrated in a single vertical but is broadening into applied and infrastructure-adjacent domains, with consolidation (Socure-Fravity) beginning alongside fresh capital formation.
Our read on the data ›
Signals we're tracking
Satellite-Terrestrial Network Integration Acceleration
Increased investment and launches in hybrid satellite-cellular networks across telecom industry; competitive responses from other carriers; regulatory activity around satellite spectrum; expansion of emergency/rural connectivity use cases
Patterns we're watching ›
Where sources disagree
ING Group
Both facts record the same metric (shares_outstanding) for ING Group at the identical observation date (2025-12-31). FACT A states 2,902,437,688 shares; FACT B states 2,902 million shares (2,902,000,000). The difference is 437,688 shares (~0.015%). This is a genuine value conflict, though the discrepancy appears to result from FACT B rounding to the nearest million while FACT A provides the precise count.
We flag conflicts openly ›
Recently verified
Checked against the original source
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facts traced to their source — and we flag the ones that don't hold up.
101 entities tracked4,981 facts checked against source5,269 source documents archived
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