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News articleYahoo Finance· May 23, 2026

Another top Fed official resets rate-cut bets

View original at finance.yahoo.com
Another top Fed official resets rate-cut bets After months of market expectations of rate cuts this year, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher J…
Opening lines of the source · Yahoo Finance · short snapshot — read the full document at the original

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  • High oil prices driven by the Iran War could dissipate quickly depending on the length of the conflict

    60% confidence
  • The Fed's current wait-and-see stance of holding rates steady is appropriate until the true inflationary impact of the Iran War becomes clearer

    60% confidence
  • Longer-term monetary tightening may be necessary if supply-shock inflation from the Iran War does not prove transitory

    60% confidence
  • Inflation is not moving in the right direction

    60% confidence
  • Rate hikes can no longer be ruled out if inflation does not abate soon

    60% confidence
  • Waller would not hesitate to support a rate hike if inflation expectations become unanchored, but such action is currently premature

    60% confidence

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What we're seeing
Pharma Pipeline Catalysts and M&A Heat Up as AI-Designed Drugs Enter the Clinic
Late-September 2026 brought a dense run of clinical readouts: Novo Nordisk's CagriSema data at EASD, Lilly's ADtouch results for EBGLYSS, and Merck's tulisokibart Phase 2b result. Lilly's $2.9B Merida Biosciences acquisition and the 2026-11-14 FDA PDUFA date for ivonescimab sit alongside these as the main deal and regulatory events. AI-designed drugs such as rentosertib, and speculative AI-linked trial ventures such as QAIAx, are moving from hype toward clinical validation. Broader AI-sector regulatory and legal friction (Tesla Cybercab probe, xAI Minnesota ruling, OpenAI lawsuits) shows rising scrutiny that could spill into AI-driven healthcare.
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Satellite-Terrestrial Network Integration Acceleration
Increased investment and launches in hybrid satellite-cellular networks across telecom industry; competitive responses from other carriers; regulatory activity around satellite spectrum; expansion of emergency/rural connectivity use cases
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Where sources disagree
Apple Inc.
The observation date (2025-12-27) precedes Q1 2026, making it logically impossible to have actual Q1 2026 cash data at that point. Q1 2026 would not end until March 31, 2026. Additionally, the magnitude of the difference ($45.3B vs $132.42) is implausibly large even as a normal quarterly change for Apple. While different fiscal periods can show different values, the timing relationship here suggests a data integrity issue rather than legitimate period-over-period variation.
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